Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e81869f160f37fd0833afa626c715023f067835ccd8bc556b8af67a977cd9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,499$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.74 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 5,563$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.71 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 72c | 2,439$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 2,100$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 73c | 1,438$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.21 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…45f4backed Yes | 24c | 1,249$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 12c | 856.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 21c | 717.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…867abacked No | 74c | 520$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 453.19$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 21c | 396.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 28c | 387.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 19c | 359.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 29c | 348.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 72c | 313.79$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 23c | 285.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 285$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 19c | 257.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 236.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 72c | 232.14$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 230$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 27c | 196.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 115.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 112.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…1f52backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 23c | 94.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 89.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 75.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…a2ebbacked No | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 27c | 49.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 24c | 42.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 34.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 77cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 73c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 20.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 75c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-05?Yes won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.