Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb575fe9e151fb620522c04cf60b4b9dd8e8714794e81b7b4b95233f0fcff7186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 3,892$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.24 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Over | 50c | 2,645$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.14 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 20c | 1,936$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.68 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b78…f1c7backed Under | 76c | 1,690$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 77c | 1,171$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Over | 70c | 1,001$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.83 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Over | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 28c | 985.3$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.42 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 30c | 834.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.65 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 40c | 794.11$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.47 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 70c | 749.1$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.88 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Over | 51c | 656.58$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 20c | 624.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Under | 26c | 609.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.57 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Under | 29c | 555$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.85 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…0a62backed Under | 73c | 543.93$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 29c | 412.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under | 22c | 411.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Over | 5c | 390.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…3ec9backed Under | 15c | 357.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 31c | 345.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Over | 72c | 333$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 9.5%9 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Under | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Over | 72c | 238.89$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 32c | 228.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 27c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…b227backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 73c | 194.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 18c | 176.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 17c | 163.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked Under | 26c | 160$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 21c | 155.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 21c | 154.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 51%201 W · 193 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6848backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 70c | 122.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Under | 33c | 119.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Under | 17c | 119.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…1846backed Under | 44c | 113.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Over | 18c | 112.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…41f0backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…01e2backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Under | 44c | 91.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…450cbacked Over | 70c | 76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 71c | 73.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…b3c2backed Under | 34c | 72.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Over | 73c | 62.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 30c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 55c | 57.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Under | 29c | 56.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…7eabbacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 23c | 46.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…3f1fbacked Over | 70c | 44.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed Under | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 57c | 32.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136f…ff55backed Over | 74c | 24.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.