Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcefda3db9aaa164766b42a25dce254c4a3b949b146ec4112a2ec66a167b46a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under | 54c | 1,851$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.37 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Over | 47c | 1,600$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.99 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 36c | 842.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 66c | 641.17$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.41 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 64c | 338.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Over | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 23c | 239.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 40c | 183.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Under | 69c | 174.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 65c | 151$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 35c | 151$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…203ebacked Under | 67c | 149.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked Over | 73c | 137.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 64c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Under | 22c | 96.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…6176backed Under | 65c | 88.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 81.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…9b54backed Under | 63c | 79.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Under | 70c | 78.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…97a4backed Over | 36c | 54.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 31c | 41.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed Under | 69c | 35.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 41c | 31.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked Under | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…3beabacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Under | 67c | 20.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…b587backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.