La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x404409605d0199989de119433518f5d023eb0cd8283aaf23897e33ce23c240fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,060,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,115,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,060,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 44c | 1,664,838$729,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935,790.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 56c | 300,000$168,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 56c | 250,000$140,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 203,008$113,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,684.35 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 56c | 200,000$112,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,999.98 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 57c | 150,000$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 88,647$36,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,204.79 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 81,912$46,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,688.61 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 76,799$43,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,443.54 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 56c | 67,293$37,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,875.14 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 57c | 29,522$16,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,827.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 26,658$12,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,315.7 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 57c | 19,277$10,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,943.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 56c | 18,888$10,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,577.28 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 14,546$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.57 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f422backed No | 58c | 12,824$7,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,426 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 55c | 10,108$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.14 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 58c | 9,278$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.24 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 8,795$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.15 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6905…e3c2backed Yes | 45c | 8,740$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 56c | 8,595$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.17 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 7,402$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.67 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 57c | 7,000$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 57c | 6,551$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.06 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 6,198$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.9 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 56c | 6,143$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.08 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.82 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 5,592$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.94 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed No | 57c | 5,200$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 4,876$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.12 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 56c | 4,400$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.39 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 3,985$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.19 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 45c | 3,650$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 56c | 3,540$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 71c | 3,281$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 41c | 3,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 2,740$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.3 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 55c | 2,740$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.6 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed No | 57c | 2,616$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.21 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 0c | 2,496$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 57c | 2,350$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 55c | 2,180$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.63 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 56c | 2,017$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.47 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 44c | 1,935$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 1,820$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.78 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed No | 40c | 1,650$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,642$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 45c | 1,640$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 1,456$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.47 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 68c | 1,429$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.73 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 42c | 1,218$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 45c | 1,165$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.85 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 44c | 999.55$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.75 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 79c | 995$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 57c | 982.46$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes | 76c | 926.62$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 57c | 888$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Yes | 44c | 874.77$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.87 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Yes | 43c | 840.54$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 35c | 807.27$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 803$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.39 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 55c | 799.94$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da3…68cdbacked Yes | 45c | 779.31$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 721.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 56c | 707.17$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.02 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 701.36$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.18 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 49c | 700$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 30c | 660.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 57c | 650$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 44c | 649.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.39 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 54c | 612.57$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 57c | 542.11$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 46c | 538.59$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 57c | 503.08$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.