TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c23,856$5,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,279.094,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes29c5,088$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.528243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes12c4,165$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes11c1,900$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6322335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes30c1,837$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c1,764$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.5923452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No72c1,500$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4269055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c1,275$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes31c1,150$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.56238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes11c1,100$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.13520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed No72c1,066$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.311369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes3c999.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No72c826.92$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.583138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes2c729$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed No70c719.97$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes28c709$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5210245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes4c706.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5345.9%2 W · 32 L-8.0wins-0.24per pick29cpaid-89.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.233565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c619.41$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.911,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No78c588.09$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.421842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c554.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes11c536.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes6c531$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.246933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes2c499.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c490$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes28c475$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No70c453.97$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6518152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes28c422$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.161855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes12c420.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No71c405$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4512951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes15c351.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f98…0610backed Yes30c329.13$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7450%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes22c313.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5724047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9027652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No72c299.95$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9915049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c299.93$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9823947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…e797backed No73c279.45$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c272.45$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes10c271.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3616838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No70c240$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7221849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No70c240$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f36…1a69backed Yes12c211.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes13c208.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes13c202.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes29c201$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2914540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5620642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d3…eda0backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes6c186.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7849057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c185.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1979133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes13c183$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7915442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Yes30c175$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No72c164.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.051758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5130634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853938.5%15 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-43%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x70d1…a7ffbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes12c128.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3912744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.89945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ca…978ebacked Yes28c114.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes30c114$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b9…855dbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes29c106.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.856434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No71c99.95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.982770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No71c99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.718961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No72c98.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.671866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Yes28c96.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes13c92.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…28f4backed Yes13c89.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.