La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa506df31ab9719066eb3c8c785335be54a6183b60aac51bd3cbffa206e516eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 73c | 7,400$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 5,748$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 5,624$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,794$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.38 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 73c | 2,918$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 72c | 1,505$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 1,404$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.11 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,144$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.21 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 27c | 1,099$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 890$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 17c | 701.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 572$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 554$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 73c | 529.85$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 24c | 408.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 72c | 399.93$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 356.79$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 342$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 21c | 295$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 293.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 281.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 256.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 255.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 13c | 235.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…aee6backed No | 73c | 185$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 135.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 72c | 131.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 128.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 79c | 100.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 79c | 91.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b53…a717backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 72c | 82.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…d0e7backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…024abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…bd4dbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 77c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.