TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c18,784$6,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,469.921,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No72c18,104$13,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,035.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No0c12,724$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c4,435$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.531,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c2,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80017043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes43c2,089$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No74c2,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.982347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No32c1,559$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.8833938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7404932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No72c999.96$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9711735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.381392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes26c542.28$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.017252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Yes50c495.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Yes53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c399.83$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.143630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Yes27c335$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked Yes67c306.42$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes28c285$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.235037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No73c271.39$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.124163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No35c239.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8912343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No34c229.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.379535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes28c228.57$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes45c226.67$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Yes74c216.66$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes29c213.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.567546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84d…01e2backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5a6…4c33backed Yes74c198.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.315366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0d…5087backed No16c186.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3904backed Yes67c179.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No36c172.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.594742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c156$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c110.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes55c106.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.86742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No71c80$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.85052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes42c79.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes28c71.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.323151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes28c64.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7214337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.63562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked Yes45c55.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.577945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e2…0638backed Yes28c53.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…a0c0backed Yes28c52.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f6…05bfbacked Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8d…1be3backed Yes28c49.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes63c46.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.526157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes33c45.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4222854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes74c43.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.426100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x599e…29fbbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked No26c39.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…22bfbacked Yes28c36.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…1d59backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed No73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…5cc3backed Yes57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked No79c24.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No72c23.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.753951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x554f…afb4backed Yes65c22.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22568%17 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf917…0482backed No73c19.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No71c17.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.248263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe04b…aae8backed No73c16.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…5cacbacked No73c16.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0504…8f32backed No73c16.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.021030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x383c…d1b8backed Yes71c16.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No71c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.364656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf693…584dbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe199…3967backed No73c15.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes76c15.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.692454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…9230backed No73c15.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb228…d3c5backed No73c14.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e4…6fd7backed No73c14.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…ca46backed No73c14.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.