Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58301731bc8758546ad023ca07ddd56b5a65d7c3c8d77a877434fe3ff3a08819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4f3…9f9bbacked Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 68c | 15,596$10,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.75 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 32c | 4,800$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 30c | 4,777$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.17 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 4,499$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.72 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 29c | 4,200$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 3,808$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.18 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 3,257$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 78c | 1,646$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 71c | 1,250$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 34c | 1,180$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.75 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 33c | 951.51$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 17c | 936.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 746$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.19 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 15c | 729.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 22c | 716.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 20c | 709.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 29c | 699.69$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 19c | 679.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 629$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 571.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 530.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 517$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…cbc5backed Yes | 33c | 449.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 16c | 436.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 32c | 353.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 69c | 327.44$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 311.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Yes | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 30c | 241.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…e797backed No | 72c | 220.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…b019backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 20c | 164.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Yes | 30c | 163.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 34c | 158.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 69c | 129.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…57c4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked No | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…01e6backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…426dbacked No | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…9940backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 16c | 91.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 72c | 81.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Yes | 19c | 79.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed Yes | 30c | 66.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 30c | 50.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…d2f0backed Yes | 30c | 43.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 41.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 38.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 29c | 37.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 61cpaid | +56%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…38edbacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed No | 69c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…c148backed No | 69c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked No | 71c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.