TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes45c46,391$20,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,780.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No60c18,317$10,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,326.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No55c14,273$7,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,422.694052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f3…9f9bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.926454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c6,995$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.3131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No58c4,468$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.5612147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No57c4,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7007529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No57c3,814$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.2126040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c2,987$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.7171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No57c2,774$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.315942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b89…8c32backed Yes44c2,739$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c2,521$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes42c2,494$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.313447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c2,371$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.7737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes22c2,265$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.532040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No57c2,193$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.987741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8806060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes42c1,763$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.0526845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes36c1,700$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.994932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c1,627$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.2835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No28c1,285$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.012638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes45c1,120$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.853748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes66c1,114$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.9935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.173537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No62c999.96$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No77c837.74$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.122250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c805.94$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.5662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3443333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3526756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No56c744.26$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.177252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c741.27$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.391,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes45c730.78$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.857546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes44c678.74$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes41c655.79$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.068447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes42c618.7$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0123153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Yes40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No59c499.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No60c467$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18512050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c459.36$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.631,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003122.6%7 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes38c399.92$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.975255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No58c398.12$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.213951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Yes40c360$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…39bdbacked Yes29c340$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No59c335.53$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.576157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b14…033fbacked Yes64c334.25$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes29c323.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.96245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Yes44c316.34$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.998263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e70…9a38backed Yes64c274.38$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes42c273.79$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.997926.6%21 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed No55c272.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No62c267.29$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3412343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No76c261.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes42c249.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No52c240.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.611556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes42c232.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6614045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes67c229.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Yes66c201.52$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No60c195$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes44c190.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cbc…1782backed Yes44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.29355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes66c178.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No50c161.39$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.844742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes64c156.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No57c153.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes43c144.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No58c141.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.882040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes39c139.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed No56c130.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.43977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes64c129.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes26c129.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.069535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76dc…28f4backed Yes41c124.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes49c122.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.88355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.85364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.84759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.89954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes72c115.11$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8817251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.