TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes6c35,999$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes7c28,254$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes7c17,515$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.0530031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes8c12,588$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.8412451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes9c11,561$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes5c10,303$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.6228133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes7c7,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes7c5,050$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes8c5,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3853246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a5f…ce01backed Yes12c4,953$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.383652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c4,800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.967799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes6c4,293$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7517048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes7c3,637$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4535942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes7c3,271$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbe…87aebacked Yes8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes6c3,000$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.96520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-70.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018947.6%90 W · 99 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes9c2,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003520%7 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes5c2,300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c6…3668backed Yes5c2,216$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes6c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d0…03c1backed Yes4c2,000$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…d4ecbacked Yes8c1,799$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes7c1,586$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38da…ab6fbacked Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes8c1,360$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.784729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes6c1,331$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.19643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…1fb5backed Yes7c1,320$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ed…ed61backed Yes8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8603…e5f8backed Yes9c1,278$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes10c1,250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9921…dcb7backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes5c1,166$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.331942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0321016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805420.4%11 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Yes5c1,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ec…4900backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae4e…67e2backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes6c999.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes9c877.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes3c817.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.061428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+291.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Yes7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563928.2%11 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…4b6ebacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24c…eaf0backed Yes2c700.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63030%9 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes8c675.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.547135.2%25 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes7c671.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4724837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd57f…c053backed Yes8c601$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick17cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…cf43backed Yes8c550$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes7c550$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.518433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325827.6%16 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes5c399.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Yes8c387.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes8c376.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.257841%32 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes9c368$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes3c336.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes7c334.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.412544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes8c321.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8b…1610backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…d576backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e2…2aacbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+633.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013756.9%78 W · 59 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…f27ebacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe4…256abacked Yes7c271.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…017cbacked Yes8c264.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes8c262.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a5…fc75backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcef…3934backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe333…b1e4backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f3…e5d3backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Yes5c249.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes7c248.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.718145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5948…15afbacked Yes7c237.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes8c237.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes9c233.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb40d…3a2fbacked Yes7c226.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4a2cbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8295…fb0dbacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a93…648ebacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7083…9165backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610939.4%43 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.