TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Yakult Brothers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakult Brothers0c12,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.996169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex77c5,752$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.812,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Yakult Brothers47c4,219$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.3419047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Yakult Brothers21c3,045$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64814446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yakult Brothers36c2,496$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.131827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Yakult Brothers29c2,277$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.4827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Team Yandex64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yakult Brothers36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Yakult Brothers4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Yakult Brothers35c1,893$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.9516149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yakult Brothers11c1,832$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex78c1,806$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.341,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yakult Brothers31c1,721$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5110941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Team Yandex69c1,669$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.182365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf134…31d7backed Yakult Brothers39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Team Yandex65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Yakult Brothers36c1,517$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.216050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yakult Brothers35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9939936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5d…5c2cbacked Yakult Brothers38c1,320$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex64c1,267$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3489440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed Team Yandex63c1,038$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.444264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Yakult Brothers18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yakult Brothers21c975.54$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.68411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Yakult Brothers22c869.56$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.312147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Yakult Brothers35c855.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+160.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex64c824.78$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Yandex70c816.49$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8423465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e7…40c2backed Yakult Brothers3c800$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e35…6de6backed Team Yandex61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb755…9e04backed Team Yandex62c799$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Team Yandex65c769.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.694678.3%36 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb35a…98a0backed Team Yandex62c760$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Team Yandex67c719.59$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.266750.7%34 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3dc…889bbacked Yakult Brothers38c710$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yakult Brothers20c615.54$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2828341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Team Yandex64c564.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0512351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd384…3b7ebacked Team Yandex62c560$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Yakult Brothers28c553.18$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.856848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Team Yandex72c551.21$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.494967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1318…0af2backed Yakult Brothers21c502.09$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4917633.5%59 W · 117 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yakult Brothers33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Yakult Brothers52c484.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb73…c204backed Yakult Brothers35c477.91$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec61…4a2ebacked Yakult Brothers21c476.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010941.3%45 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba9…0765backed Yakult Brothers10c476.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.012050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2010…aa99backed Team Yandex67c463.35$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Team Yandex67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.762576%19 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Yakult Brothers15c438.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.027159.2%42 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Team Yandex64c437.5$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.55078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x273b…9a3bbacked Team Yandex62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Yakult Brothers17c398.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4534443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Yakult Brothers36c395$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.222647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Team Yandex63c394.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.771464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Team Yandex64c374.31$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.314573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Team Yandex68c369.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5212868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Yandex80c367.37$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.159478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Yakult Brothers37c333.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2611452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex76c321.68$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.655251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Yakult Brothers10c314.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.427630.3%23 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4294…a1c8backed Team Yandex62c310$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Team Yandex65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Team Yandex66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0311551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Team Yandex75c302.19$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8814537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…13f2backed Team Yandex65c300.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Team Yandex67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8722033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa248…0b99backed Yakult Brothers38c287.8$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Yakult Brothers19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked Team Yandex64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Yakult Brothers12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Yakult Brothers40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Yakult Brothers27c247.78$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.485538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex70c243.23$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9761449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex62c234.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Team Yandex64c234.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.776068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c2…1c20backed Yakult Brothers19c234.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7714251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed Yakult Brothers11c229.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.273458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ac…63bcbacked Yakult Brothers22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex74c212.26$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3686949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yakult Brothers32c210.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.391356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Yandex62c209.76$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3611955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yakult Brothers31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6859250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yakult Brothers8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…ee97backed Yakult Brothers6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64c2…d0afbacked Team Yandex66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d1…1f2abacked Team Yandex68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7234154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yakult Brothers23c184.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers37c178.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex71c173.59$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3431545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73da…8c9bbacked Yakult Brothers12c169.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd718…aa13backed Team Yandex71c168.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.952240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked Team Yandex67c164.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.685635.7%20 W · 36 L-10.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Team Yandex63c157.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.616352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Team Yandex64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Team Yandex65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8510659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Team Yandex65c153.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3822453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed Yakult Brothers31c152.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Team Yandex61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.