TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Kings, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,116,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,401,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,116,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Kings11c333,299$36,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,511.012661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Kings10c65,098$6,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,509.785341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Kings10c60,567$5,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,756.7416346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kings10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings9c33,659$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.31,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Kings15c30,574$4,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,491.321526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings9c25,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Kings8c23,725$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Kings10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings9c20,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.981,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Kings10c19,830$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.9610850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings10c17,332$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings4c17,012$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.611,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings10c16,652$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.1724831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Kings24c16,112$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.5434456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Kings11c15,471$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.039330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings10c15,078$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.242,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings3c12,343$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.31,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings9c11,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Kings8c10,498$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.8713534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Kings10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c9,650$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings9c9,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings9c8,646$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.922,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings9c8,546$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Kings11c8,256$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.342250%11 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Kings11c7,936$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Kings13c7,726$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.3913429.9%40 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Kings10c7,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings9c7,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Kings8c6,550$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.999330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kings9c6,506$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.5443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Kings6c6,212$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.439629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Kings9c6,074$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.796550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Kings0c5,585$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8a…011dbacked Kings0c5,269$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Kings12c5,158$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.686147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings4c5,064$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.543,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b1…1f26backed Kings10c4,993$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.33329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Kings10c4,501$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5511543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings12c4,322$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.322,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings6c4,238$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7936023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kings11c4,209$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.224937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings10c4,180$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Kings7c4,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603522.9%8 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Kings9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee95…b002backed Kings10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Kings10c3,896$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5715252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Kings9c3,543$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5342335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Kings11c3,324$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings2c3,262$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.681,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0925…077abacked Kings9c3,100$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2791145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…b9e1backed Magic77c3,000$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6938160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Kings9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Kings8c2,945$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8628842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Kings10c2,893$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2917144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings9c2,890$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Magic75c2,770$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.5556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Kings4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Kings10c2,456$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.648026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed Kings2c2,370$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings10c2,350$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23546632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Kings9c2,300$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2153939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x301c…241fbacked Kings1c2,031$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Kings10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Kings8c2,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings5c1,967$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.211,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Kings10c1,944$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.411118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-69.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Kings9c1,938$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16922036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf97…dc45backed Kings10c1,900$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.984240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings9c1,885$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.971,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kings13c1,837$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0211040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Kings13c1,829$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.211827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Kings9c1,800$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…b6a8backed Kings9c1,666$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ad…62aebacked Kings9c1,666$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings12c1,646$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9130840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Kings9c1,607$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8645838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Kings7c1,564$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.787518.7%14 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Kings10c1,540$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0714628.1%41 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings7c1,522$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.063,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings9c1,444$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.611,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Kings13c1,413$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18017428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Kings10c1,400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…075abacked Kings17c1,338$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Kings10c1,338$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13416421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8df…ff65backed Kings9c1,328$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.56933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Kings14c1,300$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2221935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed Kings9c1,297$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.353520%7 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Magic77c1,274$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kings10c1,234$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9841038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Kings8c1,229$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Kings12c1,206$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8125226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cef…e3b4backed Kings4c1,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.643565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…9afabacked Kings13c1,177$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.287313.7%10 W · 63 L-11.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Kings12c1,153$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4918440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.