TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c218,094$110,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,508.0887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under49c150,000$73,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,50026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00066248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c3,926$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c3,583$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c3,284$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,926$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under52c1,902$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.041,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,641$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.042,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c1,518$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.434,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c1,506$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72b…e180backed Over49c1,278$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…23f5backed Over49c1,250$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…b028backed Over49c1,236$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c1,232$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.722,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc38d…7637backed Over49c1,232$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8a…981dbacked Over49c1,218$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb770…3a5abacked Over49c1,210$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over70c1,199$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,109$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.611,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under50c1,000$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over49c894$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9447856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over54c859.31$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9817047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c789.78$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over62c699$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.664266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Under40c670.73$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702030%6 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under61c630.14$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over38c600$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.35738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c567.73$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.872,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over56c564.17$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9214152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under62c549.16$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4846258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under36c499.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c492.08$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c400.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under65c384$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.628842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under52c356.67$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.414059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under50c347.59$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Under52c347.21$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.555742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under51c299$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over64c297.74$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.192,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over43c253.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3536949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf368…6499backed Under24c217.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.344922.4%11 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under52c211.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11091846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under38c211.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c203.45$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.711,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10222746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under51c199.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9728852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under52c180.92$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0818250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over50c151.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.977455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under58c148.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.579338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under52c141.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.521753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Under52c141.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under50c132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6626756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under52c126.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.599455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over50c126$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2845542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under49c109.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6214347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c108.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.491,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Over49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over58c91.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.713541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under52c84.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Over40c81.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.399244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Under40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Over53c76.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.194845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c72.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Under52c66.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under46c65.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.227145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under48c60.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.151,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under52c59.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c54.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c53.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under64c53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.921,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6680…0535backed Under52c51.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.746544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over48c46.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0439055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c45.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.551,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over37c44.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8720049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.