TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$896,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$917,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c368,773$194,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,910.0187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under47c300,000$141,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c209,999$102,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,647.7454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c33,101$16,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,233.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c19,531$10,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,481.281,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c12,575$6,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,151.772,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c12,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c8,293$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.811,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c8,142$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.8274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over52c8,096$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,887.195750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,983$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.671,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Over50c7,460$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c6,661$3,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,177.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c6,614$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.9343348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19c0…ae66backed Over50c5,841$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9010…af51backed Under50c5,820$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b7…81f4backed Under50c5,781$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a61…7383backed Over50c5,769$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4c…3534backed Under50c5,769$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a6…3d2ebacked Under50c5,767$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf75…f94ebacked Under50c5,749$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c5,746$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf685…fab4backed Under50c5,717$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87c…4119backed Over50c5,670$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d57…84f9backed Over50c5,599$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbe…9b2abacked Under50c5,553$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4994…d4d3backed Under50c5,529$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561f…9aa2backed Over50c5,491$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46b…1ed2backed Under50c5,461$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a58…4aa7backed Under50c5,331$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa971…043fbacked Under50c5,231$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4427…1deebacked Over50c5,185$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…c6b0backed Over50c5,138$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa09d…2b02backed Over50c5,109$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d8…e090backed Under50c5,087$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf995…41acbacked Over50c4,997$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1a18backed Under50c4,981$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e6…970abacked Over50c4,954$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x214f…8b7ebacked Over50c4,953$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7e…d839backed Under50c4,939$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d64…3eddbacked Under50c4,843$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b57…9c76backed Under50c4,717$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c4,679$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.621,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ce…67aabacked Under50c4,664$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d2…59b5backed Over50c4,635$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf78…a9b2backed Over50c4,617$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a9…2211backed Over50c4,602$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5689…6da1backed Over50c4,535$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e41…c639backed Over50c4,496$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over50c4,491$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.441,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c72…105abacked Under50c4,442$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1b…31dabacked Over50c4,439$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71d6…2d42backed Over50c4,375$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ed0…56bebacked Under50c4,321$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c2…32bcbacked Under50c4,307$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e53…63ddbacked Under50c4,275$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cc…4b07backed Over50c4,267$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2f4…e800backed Under50c4,267$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c4,256$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.4448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143c…ed57backed Under50c4,201$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f9…9709backed Over50c4,179$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7afc…4e77backed Under50c4,177$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa183…9c12backed Over50c4,137$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3e…46a2backed Under50c4,111$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e16…cc23backed Over50c4,107$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa827…dcc2backed Over51c4,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2d…92c6backed Under50c4,095$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf25…b5babacked Under50c4,067$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a6…dd36backed Over50c4,017$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe238…d068backed Over50c4,009$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8a…97aabacked Under50c3,985$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2486…3c31backed Under50c3,961$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb08d…0825backed Over50c3,873$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…3feebacked Over50c3,645$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1254…8e9abacked Over50c3,640$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8203100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc05f…ebe7backed Under50c3,611$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561a…e55cbacked Over50c3,599$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0c…dfefbacked Under50c3,563$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe346…b521backed Under50c3,510$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa038…d4f9backed Over50c3,502$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a98…03cdbacked Over50c3,421$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3972…5adabacked Under50c3,388$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f79…0fcebacked Over50c3,360$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7675…fe7abacked Over50c3,322$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e7…0e90backed Over50c3,317$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb3…e8bcbacked Over50c3,263$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x833f…0881backed Over50c3,183$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7f…f96bbacked Over50c3,177$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…efbabacked Over50c3,173$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe035…be08backed Under50c3,110$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db8…7000backed Over50c3,047$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87dc…30e9backed Over50c2,994$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4973100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24fc…eddabacked Over50c2,979$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.