NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939dc852b7a1770dcfba40893df4e9d5b808179bc569e84c03c169f128e65637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x269c…9017backed Over | 79c | 5,763$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.77 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 2,201$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 24c | 2,094$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.55 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 70c | 1,483$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 22c | 1,125$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.22 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 77c | 1,077$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.21 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 931.73$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.73 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 927.29$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 68c | 740.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 710.1$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 22c | 694.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 680.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Under | 53c | 607.86$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.62 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Over | 77c | 519.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 425.76$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 411.25$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 44c | 340.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 289.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 280.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 75c | 266.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 19c | 264.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 229.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 54c | 214.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 31c | 187.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 31c | 179.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 167.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 49c | 160.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…5b9cbacked Under | 31c | 155.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 150.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4638…aa0ebacked Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 44c | 139$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 29c | 138.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 109.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 39c | 107$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 99.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 67c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…f7f1backed Under | 34c | 89.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 40c | 82.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…d0f2backed Over | 78c | 80.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 73c | 80.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 43c | 76.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e9…84f5backed Under | 67c | 74.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d20…33b7backed Over | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 34c | 62.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 62.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Over | 56c | 54.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 57c | 51.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 44c | 48.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 67c | 47.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 73c | 47.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 37c | 45.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e0…d131backed Under | 32c | 40.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 39.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 46c | 35.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 77c | 35.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 75c | 35.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 72c | 34.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 43c | 33.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Under | 46c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ce1dbacked Over | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Under | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 77c | 29.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 35c | 28.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…75bbbacked Over | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 79c | 24.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 77c | 24.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 44c | 23.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-9.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kings vs. MagicMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Kings won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.