NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa8f2cd675f3115d70806282d0afef01ea1d18174a7651cfe48c61d829ba1a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 5,697$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.5 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…1fbebacked Over | 53c | 4,683$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5805…f983backed Under | 47c | 3,495$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d0…9398backed Under | 47c | 3,425$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.66 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…8d68backed Under | 47c | 3,243$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…dbbbbacked Over | 53c | 2,462$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 2,291$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…d293backed Over | 53c | 2,069$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,043$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 53c | 1,706$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.39 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 53c | 1,619$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.14 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 1,267$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…15d7backed Over | 53c | 1,256$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…72c4backed Over | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2be…f489backed Over | 53c | 1,248$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…ce78backed Over | 53c | 1,236$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…d0cabacked Over | 53c | 1,218$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,129$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 31c | 1,023$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.1 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…6edebacked Over | 53c | 949$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 71c | 774.79$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 611.11$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Under | 48c | 444.4$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 47c | 392.64$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 29c | 346.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 46c | 334.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 265.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 46c | 211.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Over | 54c | 204.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 53c | 200.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 47c | 163.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…7db6backed Under | 48c | 160$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Over | 54c | 157.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…feb5backed Under | 48c | 153.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f1…ba5abacked Under | 48c | 149$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 54c | 148.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa642…184fbacked Under | 48c | 147$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 42c | 137.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 127.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 124.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Over | 54c | 116.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…23edbacked Over | 54c | 89.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 74.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…7efebacked Over | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 67.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…8e22backed Over | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed Over | 54c | 65.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…f71bbacked Over | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 54c | 62.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…ad6cbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…1f39backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…b86fbacked Over | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 57.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed Over | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 25c | 54.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 30c | 54.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Over | 53c | 53.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 73c | 47.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 45.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 36c | 42.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…4134backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…a977backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 28c | 35.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b68backed Over | 54c | 35.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 56c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…5a64backed Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…74febacked Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…44c7backed Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6a93backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 28.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…f709backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…8324backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 75c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…5734backed Over | 53c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 54c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 66c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-9.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kings vs. MagicMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Kings won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.