NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e74d6e460e5d16268f79fcd5915ff550df3c5a1d7f660c137d4ff31ba3eeb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Magic, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,068,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,142,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,068,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 50c | 502,315$251,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251,139.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Magic | 50c | 500,763$250,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250,378.54 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 50c | 81,494$40,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,746.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,199.97 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic | 50c | 32,712$16,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,356 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Magic | 49c | 28,345$13,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,888.99 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 49c | 22,035$10,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,797.15 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Kings | 50c | 17,873$8,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,936.74 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 50c | 16,378$8,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,189.01 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…20dabacked Magic | 55c | 16,329$8,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,981 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Kings | 51c | 12,232$6,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.87 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 49c | 12,011$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,885.39 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 49c | 12,000$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.05 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…73aebacked Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…f13dbacked Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 48c | 9,535$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,985.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 49c | 9,320$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…89bfbacked Magic | 50c | 9,058$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 52c | 7,830$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Magic | 49c | 7,000$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…8eddbacked Kings | 50c | 5,846$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef5…4aedbacked Kings | 49c | 5,718$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12db…9e77backed Kings | 49c | 5,702$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Kings | 53c | 5,699$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.15 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…3de7backed Magic | 51c | 5,432$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…b4a5backed Kings | 50c | 5,424$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…1889backed Magic | 51c | 5,369$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…4d09backed Magic | 50c | 5,334$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…70ebbacked Magic | 51c | 5,292$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 49c | 5,236$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 64c | 5,177$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.31 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…8eaebacked Magic | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Magic | 49c | 5,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…34b0backed Magic | 51c | 4,995$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…b85bbacked Kings | 49c | 4,993$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…24c5backed Magic | 50c | 4,968$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…2b69backed Magic | 50c | 4,827$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 52c | 4,808$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…7a73backed Kings | 49c | 4,728$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…c968backed Kings | 50c | 4,717$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…f942backed Magic | 51c | 4,715$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…9842backed Magic | 51c | 4,643$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…882dbacked Magic | 51c | 4,546$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Magic | 50c | 4,541$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.59 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…5fdebacked Magic | 50c | 4,364$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…72f1backed Kings | 49c | 4,358$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe883…292dbacked Magic | 50c | 4,272$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 51c | 4,179$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Kings | 50c | 4,164$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d88…04cabacked Kings | 50c | 4,111$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Magic | 48c | 4,050$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.94 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…c2dfbacked Magic | 50c | 4,011$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe288…dd34backed Magic | 51c | 3,963$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…23f7backed Kings | 49c | 3,880$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…b257backed Kings | 49c | 3,790$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf451…ece8backed Kings | 50c | 3,789$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…9273backed Kings | 49c | 3,787$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…2f7bbacked Magic | 50c | 3,747$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…cef1backed Kings | 50c | 3,679$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…ed58backed Kings | 49c | 3,648$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…c43dbacked Magic | 51c | 3,645$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 55c | 3,575$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.06 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…ef6dbacked Kings | 50c | 3,550$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…cde7backed Magic | 51c | 3,527$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f3…d624backed Kings | 49c | 3,493$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…0563backed Magic | 51c | 3,481$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…47c0backed Magic | 50c | 3,411$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…0bbcbacked Kings | 49c | 3,385$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…d810backed Kings | 50c | 3,291$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1687…836bbacked Magic | 50c | 3,274$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Kings | 52c | 3,269$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.23 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…0d59backed Kings | 50c | 3,198$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…38b6backed Kings | 49c | 3,157$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…e68ebacked Magic | 51c | 3,131$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…672ebacked Kings | 49c | 3,104$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Magic | 48c | 3,090$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.2 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…7a20backed Magic | 51c | 3,073$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4672…b870backed Kings | 50c | 3,061$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…d500backed Magic | 50c | 3,047$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…863bbacked Kings | 50c | 3,039$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2c9cbacked Kings | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kings | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8869…0595backed Magic | 51c | 2,984$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…f8b1backed Kings | 49c | 2,854$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…b9c6backed Kings | 49c | 2,839$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…ce77backed Magic | 50c | 2,791$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…d346backed Kings | 50c | 2,773$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…de94backed Kings | 49c | 2,732$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…0d81backed Kings | 50c | 2,655$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…0cf3backed Magic | 51c | 2,584$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1628…7948backed Magic | 50c | 2,566$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Magic | 50c | 2,470$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.34 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Magic | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…016ebacked Kings | 50c | 2,263$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…5778backed Magic | 50c | 2,174$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-9.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kings vs. MagicMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Kings won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.