NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e8d4def7813a250ab4cb8f2b4e823bf2c46e11589e44ed1314c1a2947983ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Magic, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 54c | 87,528$47,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,034.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Magic | 45c | 25,131$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,308.81 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 55c | 15,834$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,134.26 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Magic | 46c | 12,960$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.6 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 53c | 12,285$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Magic | 45c | 10,103$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 55c | 10,078$5,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Magic | 45c | 8,012$3,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.4 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 44c | 7,453$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 45c | 7,295$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c48…db5cbacked Magic | 47c | 6,023$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Magic | 46c | 5,909$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 45c | 5,647$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 48c | 5,300$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa215…17debacked Kings | 53c | 4,428$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Magic | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…ac1cbacked Magic | 47c | 4,350$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…a6c9backed Kings | 53c | 4,130$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 45c | 3,958$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.68 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Magic | 45c | 3,599$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.46 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 50c | 2,416$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Magic | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kings | 55c | 2,093$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.66 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 54c | 1,970$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.17 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Kings | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.86 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…2b6cbacked Kings | 53c | 1,815$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Magic | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 62c | 896.98$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 46c | 889.55$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Magic | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Magic | 45c | 743.74$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 12c | 536.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Magic | 46c | 499.58$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.83 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Magic | 49c | 484.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Magic | 45c | 453.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Kings | 56c | 452.2$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kings | 53c | 448.38$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kings | 55c | 404$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 53c | 403.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Kings | 45c | 373.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Magic | 55c | 363.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Magic | 46c | 347.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 46c | 345.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 42c | 326.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 45c | 314.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Magic | 44c | 310.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Magic | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 39c | 260.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kings | 54c | 253.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Magic | 46c | 234.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 51c | 222.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Magic | 46c | 219.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Magic | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Magic | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 53c | 212.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Kings | 55c | 192.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Magic | 45c | 184.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Kings | 56c | 180.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…c907backed Magic | 44c | 169$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…46b0backed Magic | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…cacabacked Magic | 44c | 146$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Magic | 45c | 145.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Kings | 57c | 141.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Kings | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418c…901abacked Magic | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…9676backed Magic | 45c | 137$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 51c | 135.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Magic | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Kings | 56c | 124.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Magic | 49c | 116.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Magic | 45c | 116.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Magic | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Magic | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Magic | 45c | 109.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kings | 66c | 96.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Magic | 44c | 95.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Magic | 45c | 94.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Magic | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kings | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Kings | 55c | 90.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Kings | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…1f4bbacked Kings | 56c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Magic | 46c | 78.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Magic | 45c | 73.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Magic | 46c | 68.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Magic | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…b546backed Kings | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Magic | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…b86bbacked Kings | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…f53cbacked Kings | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Kings | 52c | 59.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Kings | 59c | 59.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…1d85backed Kings | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…8055backed Magic | 46c | 55.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-9.5)Kings won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Carter: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kings vs. MagicMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Kings vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Kings won
- Spread: Magic (-17.5)Kings won
- Tristan da Silva: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.