TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3709…d0f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.81
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$13.01
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$65.67
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.77
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Tigre: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+76.4%+$8.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+241.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.