Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f6dd52f014ad21c4db1384637cb79c6346be0ebd917afac567a94b57d58b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olivieriof Ambrogi, Olivieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0ed…3895backed Ambrogi | 0c | 4,674$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ambrogi | 0c | 4,580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olivieri | 66c | 3,878$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Ambrogi | 44c | 2,642$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.39 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Ambrogi | 45c | 587.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ambrogi | 15c | 441.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Olivieri | 55c | 403.43$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…572abacked Olivieri | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ambrogi | 35c | 248.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Olivieri | 59c | 230$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olivieri | 58c | 170.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Olivieri | 59c | 168.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ambrogi | 42c | 156.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Ambrogi | 45c | 154.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Olivieri | 54c | 126.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed Olivieri | 55c | 109.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Ambrogi | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Ambrogi | 42c | 78.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ambrogi | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Olivieri | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ambrogi | 19c | 69.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf514…4d8abacked Ambrogi | 45c | 60.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed Ambrogi | 45c | 58.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…749abacked Ambrogi | 45c | 58.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ambrogi | 37c | 57.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Ambrogi | 42c | 54.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Olivieri | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Ambrogi | 45c | 49.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…b78bbacked Ambrogi | 45c | 47.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Olivieri | 59c | 46.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…9d4fbacked Olivieri | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb660…4e04backed Ambrogi | 44c | 43.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olivieri | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…91ddbacked Ambrogi | 44c | 34.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…1f2cbacked Ambrogi | 44c | 34.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…e189backed Ambrogi | 44c | 33.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Olivieri | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Olivieri | 61c | 27.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Olivieri | 57c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Olivieri | 55c | 24.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Olivieri | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Olivieri | 55c | 23.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Olivieri | 57c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Olivieri | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…d0f2backed Olivieri | 57c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.