South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2223b4a9017c3d3096bcde073ccc363c079dda86183aba2a040969dd3f57ba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 61c | 14,491$8,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,716.07 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 8,074$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.15 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,411$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 1,681$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 47c | 695.09$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 54c | 309.71$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 45c | 220.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 59c | 201.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 44c | 158.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 70c | 141.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 33c | 140.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 134.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 130.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 45c | 100.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 99.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 31c | 91.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 74.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Yes | 33c | 67.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 56.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 53c | 53.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 76c | 49.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 53c | 47.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 31c | 47.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 40.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 52c | 37.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…d0f2backed Yes | 32c | 36.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 35c | 35.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed No | 36c | 30.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed No | 40c | 29.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Yes | 48c | 27.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…cd3abacked No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…468cbacked No | 46c | 24.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…e5fbbacked Yes | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 67c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?this page
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-02-17?Yes won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.