Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8af035236b3796fc4ca280b5a5233ff4f6e70fdb20f4312205766558f23d860d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Real Madrid CF, Sport Lisboa e Benfica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1aeb…eb6cbacked Real Madrid CF | 25c | 180,301$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 155,555$118,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,333.2 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 24,268$18,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.11 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…92ccbacked Real Madrid CF | 22c | 16,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f89…2b03backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 15,993$12,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 15,850$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.26 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 74c | 15,122$11,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 13,000$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 9,943$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 9,595$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.45 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Real Madrid CF | 29c | 7,840$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.69 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 6,565$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.6 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 4,978$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.65 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Real Madrid CF | 28c | 4,612$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 3,880$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.68 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 2,814$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a5e8backed Real Madrid CF | 18c | 2,704$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 2,443$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.29 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 72c | 2,200$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.83 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Real Madrid CF | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 72c | 1,519$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.26 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 1,417$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Madrid CF | 32c | 1,298$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 73c | 1,170$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.94 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Real Madrid CF | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 75c | 999.01$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 15c | 945$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.25 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 804.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 738.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 677.82$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Real Madrid CF | 16c | 657.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 625$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 612.77$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Real Madrid CF | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…5540backed Real Madrid CF | 33c | 586.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Real Madrid CF | 24c | 498.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7201backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 475.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…fc2abacked Real Madrid CF | 22c | 449.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…aa56backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 449.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…45bbbacked Real Madrid CF | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Real Madrid CF | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Real Madrid CF | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…21f2backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Real Madrid CF | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked Real Madrid CF | 27c | 374.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Real Madrid CF | 27c | 362.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 350$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Real Madrid CF | 23c | 321.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Real Madrid CF | 16c | 313$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Real Madrid CF | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 277.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 276.1$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 258.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Real Madrid CF | 26c | 218.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Real Madrid CF | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 161.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Real Madrid CF | 23c | 158.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 157.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 76c | 156.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 152.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Real Madrid CF | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Real Madrid CF | 22c | 135.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Real Madrid CF | 29c | 133.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Real Madrid CF | 29c | 130.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 77c | 128.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Real Madrid CF | 25c | 127.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…0ec9backed Real Madrid CF | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd5…09c2backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 77c | 107$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Real Madrid CF | 24c | 106.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.