TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No46c36,604$16,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,633.841,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes31c9,031$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.661,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No40c5,131$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.7143427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c3,833$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.4359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes38c3,600$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.989757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No38c3,169$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.310733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes62c2,919$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.5112344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…a271backed Yes62c2,785$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes63c2,377$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.243256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Yes62c2,258$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes62c1,700$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0543961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes62c1,614$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.561643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes62c1,601$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes63c1,597$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No37c1,593$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.551926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes62c1,344$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.5629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes62c1,203$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.124628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes33c1,119$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.452330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes40c1,058$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes62c1,054$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes59c1,016$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No37c999.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed No39c873$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.532437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Yes63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed No67c772.5$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes61c711.66$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4345156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed Yes38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes63c582.61$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.435433.3%18 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No57c538.56$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0739443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes56c504$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.286761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003850%19 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes61c488.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaced…b1bebacked Yes62c482.22$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes61c468.92$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.044555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb8…bed9backed Yes62c452.69$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes63c439.33$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.241050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes46c435.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.396028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc5…9742backed Yes62c410$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes54c407.72$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205651.8%29 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes60c399.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes63c396.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes62c370.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes56c357.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002737%10 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No37c356.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22614645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes61c355.74$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2172437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Yes60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes61c332.82$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked No55c332.27$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.274143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No39c326.3$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.310431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes34c323.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104037.5%15 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked Yes62c300.97$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+123.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes63c285.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes36c275$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes63c267$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2122647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Yes63c261.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes58c256.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes16c254.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.281414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes63c240$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes63c238$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.949652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes63c236.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Yes50c232.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c227.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3160648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes34c226.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778132.1%26 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c3…eaadbacked No69c217.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed Yes60c210$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+99.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No37c203.87$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4415349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed Yes62c201.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Yes62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…d1d8backed Yes62c199.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Yes46c195.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.23534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f41…1adebacked Yes62c194.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bff…f0cdbacked Yes52c193.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked No42c191.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.173953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.87639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No45c175.56$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.047238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.410566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes53c169.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.783868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes61c163.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.023040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes62c162.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes46c161.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4620639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb799…1876backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.