Champions League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11caad22bd2e07d501f86862a108f499d616bf47b824de19436ac58f71113018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 29,040$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,329 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 16,259$7,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,879.5 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 14,376$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,151.05 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 11,058$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.14 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 18c | 9,067$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.81 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 55c | 8,790$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…c73abacked Under | 45c | 7,857$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 58c | 4,219$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Over | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 53c | 3,142$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.16 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 28c | 2,523$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.54 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 20c | 2,518$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.16 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Over | 56c | 2,142$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 64c | 2,106$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 72c | 2,005$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 69c | 1,899$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Over | 61c | 1,631$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,628$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.7 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 40c | 1,552$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.96 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 43c | 1,441$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Over | 56c | 1,260$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 78c | 1,229$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.82 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 52c | 1,138$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.41 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…40b4backed Over | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 53c | 943.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 77c | 918.75$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 77c | 860$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 51c | 706.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 661.92$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.82 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 52c | 658.87$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 51c | 643.24$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 39c | 638.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…fdadbacked Under | 48c | 627.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 50c | 604.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 69c | 588.64$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 63c | 582.87$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 20c | 580$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 52c | 558.13$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 548.66$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 526.82$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.47 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…3bfbbacked Under | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Over | 60c | 510.51$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Under | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Under | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 499.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 56c | 485.64$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 60c | 483$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 462.69$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Over | 75c | 435.91$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Over | 59c | 425.91$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 62c | 405.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 403.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 369.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…34d1backed Over | 73c | 365.72$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 66c | 349.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 52c | 348.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6593backed Under | 69c | 319.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 52c | 317.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 317.68$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 314$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 310.6$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 64c | 306.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 19c | 297.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 296.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 17c | 272.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 59c | 266.86$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 63c | 264.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 56c | 263.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 52c | 250.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Over | 52c | 249.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 28c | 241.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 227.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…2fc3backed Over | 80c | 225.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…2856backed Over | 63c | 206.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 58c | 206.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…47a1backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 35c | 198$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 52c | 194.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 80c | 189.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 58c | 184$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.