TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c29,040$9,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,3291,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c16,259$7,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,879.534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under22c14,376$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,151.0558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c11,058$4,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.1446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under18c9,067$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,434.8126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over55c8,790$4,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,834.58155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7709…c73abacked Under45c7,857$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,321.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Over58c4,219$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.01785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Over65c3,500$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under53c3,142$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.1616036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under28c2,523$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.5443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under20c2,518$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.1610249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfe…1afcbacked Over56c2,142$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.98785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over64c2,106$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under72c2,005$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9910742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over69c1,899$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.531070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over61c1,631$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.84825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,628$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.71,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over40c1,552$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.352532%8 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under18c1,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.9624327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over43c1,441$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.232356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over56c1,260$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c1,229$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over52c1,138$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.418938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over49c1,027$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Over33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over53c943.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.962326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over77c918.75$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over77c860$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under38c799.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4961442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under51c706.2$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.041060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under61c661.92$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8215936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over52c658.87$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over51c643.24$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.941822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over39c638.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3703…fdadbacked Under48c627.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over50c604.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under69c588.64$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.111968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over63c582.87$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under20c580$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4643132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over52c558.13$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over52c548.66$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.31020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under73c526.82$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4738253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d94…3bfbbacked Under19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.32450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+127.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over60c510.51$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.313740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Over80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-63.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Under19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4052948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Under18c499.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.999040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c499.67$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7720655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over56c485.64$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.963056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over60c483$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.461656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over67c462.69$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3104957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.555042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Over75c435.91$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Over59c425.91$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.311323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over62c405.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c403.77$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c369.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.5959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…34d1backed Over73c365.72$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c365$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.819856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over66c349.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.991573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over52c348.71$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.331540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16c8…6593backed Under69c319.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over52c317.86$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1663652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under72c317.68$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.977943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over49c314$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2422356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over76c310.6$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6710465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over64c306.23$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6310051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Under19c297.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.58520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c296.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under17c272.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3729746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over59c266.86$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4520639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over63c264.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4715657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over56c263.24$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.412268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over52c250.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7720…da92backed Over52c249.69$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over28c241.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.928846.6%41 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c227.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf7…2fc3backed Over80c225.29$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103050%15 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd272…2856backed Over63c206.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over58c206.41$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.833253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb623…47a1backed Over74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over35c198$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.310039%39 W · 61 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over52c194.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa20f…fcaabacked Over80c189.95$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over58c184$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.723033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.