UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06af35119679cdc5420cd3900e8926a7668aee62e60ed2d5c2265a3df411738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovan Lekaof Alexander Poppeck, Jovan Leka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 177,576$48,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,860.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 86,001$62,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,855.27 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 42,166$30,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,821.88 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 13,654$9,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Jovan Leka | 78c | 13,604$10,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Alexander Poppeck | 26c | 10,000$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.21 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Jovan Leka | 71c | 8,924$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 8,827$6,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.03 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 6,613$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.54 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 6,355$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Alexander Poppeck | 26c | 5,994$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jovan Leka | 73c | 4,679$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.55 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Jovan Leka | 75c | 3,686$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Jovan Leka | 73c | 2,871$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jovan Leka | 71c | 2,816$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.63 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…832dbacked Jovan Leka | 71c | 2,798$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…a1b2backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…7456backed Jovan Leka | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 2,517$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.54 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Alexander Poppeck | 27c | 2,332$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.64 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Jovan Leka | 74c | 2,280$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Alexander Poppeck | 29c | 2,200$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Alexander Poppeck | 29c | 2,092$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.68 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alexander Poppeck | 10c | 2,090$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Alexander Poppeck | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Alexander Poppeck | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…8759backed Alexander Poppeck | 29c | 1,963$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 1,945$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.6 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Alexander Poppeck | 29c | 1,503$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Jovan Leka | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alexander Poppeck | 27c | 1,275$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Alexander Poppeck | 26c | 1,245$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.17 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alexander Poppeck | 27c | 1,191$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.29 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 1,085$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 881.38$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 853.57$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…d91bbacked Jovan Leka | 72c | 850$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…3cd9backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 848.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked Jovan Leka | 72c | 813.76$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 779$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 769.76$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jovan Leka | 74c | 714$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 705.19$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 655.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 632.43$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 529$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…b591backed Jovan Leka | 73c | 520.55$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…77f5backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Alexander Poppeck | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 481.37$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 480$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 428.56$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Alexander Poppeck | 24c | 411.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…ce4cbacked Jovan Leka | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jovan Leka | 71c | 394$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Jovan Leka | 68c | 382.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed Jovan Leka | 73c | 357.53$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 354.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Alexander Poppeck | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Jovan Leka | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…6fcfbacked Alexander Poppeck | 27c | 341.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…3b87backed Jovan Leka | 75c | 337$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Jovan Leka | 68c | 336.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Jovan Leka | 73c | 335$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Jovan Leka | 76c | 322.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alexander Poppeck | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 291.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 284.85$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 278$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alexander Poppeck | 31c | 277.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 275$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Jovan Leka | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alexander Poppeck | 26c | 258.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Alexander Poppeck | 26c | 251.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 246.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Jovan Leka | 72c | 243.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Jovan Leka | 73c | 241.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 241.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 238.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…bdf3backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 235$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 228.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Jovan Leka | 72c | 220$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…df3abacked Alexander Poppeck | 27c | 211$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Jovan Leka | 74c | 192.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Alexander Poppeck | 29c | 154.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…5326backed Jovan Leka | 68c | 144.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 143.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…5eebbacked Alexander Poppeck | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a7…898abacked Alexander Poppeck | 24c | 139.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Jovan Leka | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Jovan Leka win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.