Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8bc73364757a1a8fbf62e984698ecdce8fbfe1a56e3897d56d695d7d80dd0a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,449 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x581c…7b47backed Yes | 70c | 22,701$15,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,728.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3b…63a1backed Yes | 70c | 18,986$13,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,614.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…d5f7backed Yes | 75c | 13,401$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 78c | 12,787$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Yes | 69c | 11,442$7,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 75c | 9,028$6,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 24c | 7,118$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 80c | 6,000$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.95 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed No | 20c | 5,370$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.2 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 27c | 5,129$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 32c | 3,814$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.91 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 27c | 3,333$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 21c | 3,005$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed No | 5c | 2,819$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 119 | 6.7%8 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 30c | 2,283$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.99 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 37c | 2,244$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.38 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 48c | 1,937$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,718$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.39 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,680$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.27 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 27c | 1,511$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 25c | 1,455$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.95 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 24c | 1,314$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.45 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…e94cbacked No | 55c | 1,262$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 63c | 1,260$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.9 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 74c | 1,149$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…ea85backed Yes | 46c | 1,032$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 29c | 1,029$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 74c | 1,016$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Yes | 52c | 1,009$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.31 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 25c | 975.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.93 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed No | 47c | 955.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 27c | 898.76$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…978bbacked Yes | 71c | 868$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…29d1backed No | 54c | 865.96$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…7333backed No | 17c | 861.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…f322backed No | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 42c | 782.65$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.22 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 74c | 767.42$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…7bb8backed No | 61c | 719.96$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 719.45$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 15c | 685.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 56c | 685.06$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…05debacked No | 60c | 648.35$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 637.1$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.39 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 57c | 615.49$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.67 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 16c | 615.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.42 | 166 | 11.4%19 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed No | 79c | 606$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…a45bbacked Yes | 49c | 601.04$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…6998backed No | 65c | 563.82$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes | 71c | 550$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…384ebacked No | 17c | 543.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 79c | 542$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…aafdbacked No | 14c | 537.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…434abacked No | 17c | 531.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6d14backed No | 67c | 529.74$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba2…315cbacked Yes | 64c | 520$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4295…5b86backed Yes | 58c | 518.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…8998backed No | 54c | 503.39$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…5873backed No | 66c | 495.79$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 64c | 493.86$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65f…420ebacked Yes | 14c | 478.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 62c | 464.32$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.03 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Yes | 21c | 463$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 21c | 457$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…c0f0backed No | 19c | 440$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes | 36c | 439.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…e9bebacked No | 20c | 425.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 77c | 424.66$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…0991backed No | 23c | 421$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…2a5ebacked No | 22c | 420$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…78cebacked No | 22c | 420$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…010dbacked Yes | 59c | 417.89$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 49c | 417.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…ffcfbacked Yes | 47c | 415.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 414.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.84 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…1a71backed No | 63c | 404.19$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 24c | 400$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…4e20backed No | 57c | 393.3$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…d99ebacked No | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…2755backed Yes | 67c | 386.92$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…0329backed Yes | 61c | 385.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 37c | 379.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 6c | 377.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0f…902fbacked No | 64c | 371.64$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 61c | 370.65$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…3f78backed Yes | 36c | 351.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…9900backed No | 64c | 351.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed No | 15c | 350$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 40c | 334.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…1523backed Yes | 46c | 325.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…7fe8backed No | 23c | 321$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 66c | 318.72$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 22c | 318.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…8d04backed No | 67c | 314.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…702dbacked Yes | 36c | 313.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 79c | 311$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed No | 15c | 301.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…d318backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.