Tweets · resolved market
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6110795b3024dfd2fd2f734de5ac7f86cd559f760084f48807564a38775d29f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,317 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2602…0ff3backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…1400backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6536backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…b9a3backed Yes | 1c | 11,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…93eabacked Yes | 2c | 8,800$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 8c | 7,569$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 1c | 6,656$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 119 | 6.7%8 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…bc56backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes | 9c | 5,068$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 18.3%40 W · 178 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84c0backed Yes | 3c | 4,732$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 4c | 4,163$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…e280backed Yes | 0c | 3,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04a…af81backed Yes | 0c | 2,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes | 1c | 2,389$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 0c | 2,242$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,652$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,649$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…167cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,382$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 7c | 1,280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 14c | 1,213$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 2c | 1,103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 2c | 1,061$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 2c | 935.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 900$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes | 18c | 805$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked Yes | 4c | 800.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…91b8backed Yes | 6c | 761.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 18c | 630.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 7c | 615.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…da44backed Yes | 5c | 599.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 16c | 580.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 518.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…0f1cbacked Yes | 4c | 508.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 8c | 505.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 4c | 499.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 30c | 492.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…ce49backed Yes | 2c | 476.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Yes | 5c | 463.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 451.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 75c | 447.12$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…e3ffbacked No | 80c | 315.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 70c | 299.79$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 8c | 283.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 270.13$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…c5d2backed Yes | 12c | 255.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…7b7cbacked Yes | 7c | 208.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…9b49backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 15c | 159.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2d77…523dbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…3637backed No | 77c | 140$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 13c | 126.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 16c | 114.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed Yes | 27c | 114.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…27d2backed Yes | 12c | 100.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ece3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…05ddbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0847backed Yes | 28c | 99.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 98.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 23c | 92.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 13c | 84.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347e…4d06backed Yes | 23c | 52.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed No | 77c | 47.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…dd9dbacked Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…c73abacked No | 73c | 25.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1d…c513backed No | 73c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?this page
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
- Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.