Fifa International · resolved market
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2b95d7743dd97efb2915953e7c430ae82a4fa65d58934e3f9c8dcc41322bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfb6…f90bbacked Yes | 47c | 7,854$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…be06backed No | 53c | 7,854$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,162.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 11c | 2,309$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 73c | 1,698$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.49 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 1,377$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 14c | 1,045$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 19c | 828.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 11c | 501.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Yes | 77c | 450.08$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 27c | 444.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 19c | 435.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 11c | 401.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 21c | 355.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…14c5backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 11c | 223.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 9c | 218.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…86debacked No | 13c | 169.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 11c | 169.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 32.3%42 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…97debacked No | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 71c | 140.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 22c | 135.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 13c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 73c | 113.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…01d5backed No | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 11c | 99.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 24c | 97.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…a779backed Yes | 79c | 96.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 12c | 89.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed No | 19c | 67.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 54c | 60.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…3948backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…8057backed Yes | 67c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Aruba win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Curaçao vs. Aruba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.