Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db59516c90c9927b5428d15ac952b235a9e83c8360866245e2938c6040884c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 22,097$10,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,937.23 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Heroic | 55c | 18,820$10,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,425.84 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Heroic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.8 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Heroic | 53c | 3,329$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.47 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 45c | 3,001$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.28 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,914$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.49 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,852$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.59 | 611 | 57.9%354 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 2,818$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.2 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Heroic | 46c | 2,607$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.41 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Heroic | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,558$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.2 | 452 | 39.4%178 W · 274 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,514$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,207$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 45c | 1,108$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 571 | 48.5%277 W · 294 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 907.27$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.27 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Heroic | 57c | 899.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 890.18$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 693.48$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.11 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 619.74$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 286 | 41.3%118 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Heroic | 55c | 545.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee6…cc86backed Heroic | 65c | 525.18$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 499.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 481.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Heroic | 59c | 407.72$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.46 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 397.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 375.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Heroic | 16c | 371.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 363.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 300$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Heroic | 51c | 275.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 203.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…63bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 199.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 174.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 150$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…64f6backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 145.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 145.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…34b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 144.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Heroic | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Heroic | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…ab87backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 118.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…3e80backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 114.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 105.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…3c3ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Heroic | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Heroic | 51c | 97.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 96.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Heroic | 51c | 95.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 95.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 95.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Heroic | 36c | 91.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 91.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 84.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 42c | 79.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 79.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Heroic | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…4b1ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 70.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Heroic | 44c | 68.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7283…f4abbacked Heroic | 45c | 64.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…0220backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 51.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…6cafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 48.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 42.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Heroic | 80c | 41.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…e79bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 40.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…bbccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 38.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked Heroic | 79c | 38.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Heroic | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1175…7f81backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 31.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 29.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Heroic | 47c | 26.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e530backed Heroic | 65c | 23.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)Heroic won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.