Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16c738afbf560d50cca6176a69d83b254ec9d39e77f4e9ef01f8862ab9243834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Xtreme Gaming, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Heroic | 42c | 29,858$12,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,300.63 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 27,305$16,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,214.39 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Heroic | 47c | 26,853$12,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,274.49 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 21,896$12,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,845 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 13,406$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,184.47 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Heroic | 75c | 11,562$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.38 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Heroic | 47c | 9,520$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.08 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Heroic | 67c | 9,453$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.14 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 8,994$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.23 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 7,030$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.8 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 6,267$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 5,599$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.65 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Heroic | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 4,187$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.87 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 4,110$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.35 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Heroic | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,730$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Heroic | 47c | 3,575$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.71 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 3,440$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.16 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Heroic | 45c | 3,390$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 37c | 3,040$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.26 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,523$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.64 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Heroic | 48c | 2,522$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.25 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Heroic | 44c | 2,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Heroic | 47c | 2,132$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.67 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Heroic | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heroic | 44c | 1,525$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.19 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,400$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 50c | 1,330$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.34 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 43c | 1,162$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.75 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,127$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.29 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,110$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.39 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.88 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic | 45c | 1,025$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.14 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Heroic | 42c | 1,005$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.84 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 997.62$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.71 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 935.57$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 919.88$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 886.51$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 883.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 870.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 699.33$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Heroic | 62c | 699.24$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.47 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 698.13$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Heroic | 51c | 617.31$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.67 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 44c | 578.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.77 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Heroic | 70c | 570.92$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 561.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 540.81$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 47c | 533.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 501.79$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 37c | 490$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Heroic | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +110%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Heroic | 74c | 475.65$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…34b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 469.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Heroic | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 406.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc9…7db1backed Heroic | 48c | 369.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 358.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heroic | 44c | 350.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Heroic | 28c | 329.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Heroic | 46c | 323.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 323.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 318.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 305.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic | 43c | 300.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 28c | 300$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…e80bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 296.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 295.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.56 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7283…f4abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 291.58$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 287.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f5febacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 267$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…3d03backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 250.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Heroic | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Heroic | 64c | 248.05$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…f4b1backed Heroic | 76c | 247.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…721fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 244.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Heroic | 57c | 243.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 235.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Heroic | 46c | 229.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.27 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 221.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 221.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Heroic | 13c | 217$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x158c…36cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 207.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic | 26c | 206.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.