MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e85c1e9cdd32ad900f038358944a7ddb0d85f0de82c8ed4eb16b85d7e855c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Arizona Diamondbacks, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $680,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $691,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 257,573$110,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,390.29 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 126,393$72,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,335.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 101,508$58,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,996.56 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 69,296$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.53 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 60,510$25,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,413.64 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 32,100$18,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,802.98 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 26,415$15,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,094.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 24,454$14,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,535.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 21,075$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 17,055$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,308.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 15,900$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.17 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 15,753$8,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.89 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 10,526$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.31 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 8,068$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 8,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 7,256$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 6,993$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.83 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 6,511$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 6,190$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,802$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,958$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.27 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,298$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 2,967$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.41 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,954$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,801$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.34 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,582$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.09 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,539$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.89 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 2,292$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 2,242$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,034$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,020$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.59 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,883$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,590$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.79 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,543$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.87 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,412$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…6e45backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,296$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,295$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,294$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.42 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,191$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.23 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,164$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,096$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.57 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,008$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,000$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…92adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 993.98$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 969.99$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 906.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.14 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 890$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 886.36$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 879.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.66 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63c…034abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 851.04$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 822.51$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.69 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 652.55$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 636.35$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 618.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 609.62$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 600$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 599.97$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 581.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 560.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 559.8$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 550$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 546$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 543.67$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 514.05$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…935cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 494$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 479.95$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 472$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…ef96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 73c | 437.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 425.18$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 417.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 379.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.