TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x964e…36cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+197%+$108.33
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+145%+$210.19
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$54.62
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+205.4%+$92.42
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Bol: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Valentina Ivanovbacked Valentina Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$56.51
Roland Garros WTA: Solana Sierra vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatekbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$12.03
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Chenting Zhubacked Chenting Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$69.81
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Andreea Prisacariu vs Barbora Palicovabacked Andreea Prisacariu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+248.3%+$74.49
ITF Wuning: Ankita Raina vs Lu Mengqiaobacked Lu Mengqiao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
ITF Wuning: Sijia Wei vs Junhan Zhangbacked Junhan Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilasbacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+413.8%+$53.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.