CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4d69ad44e56426c6a81cbe6bcaf947f8cf28fb148ec52c02969d6e4e5eb64a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3573…4b4dbacked Eternal Fire | 14c | 1,334$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 26c | 1,138$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 908.61$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 872.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 19c | 860.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 835.99$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.12 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 726.71$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 615$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 583.14$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 577.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 554.81$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 79c | 544.03$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…bb7dbacked Eternal Fire | 16c | 515.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 468.76$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked Gentle Mates | 77c | 460.79$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…03c6backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 426.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Eternal Fire | 24c | 414.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Eternal Fire | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 293.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 267.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 246.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…5f68backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 211.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…90f2backed Eternal Fire | 16c | 157.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eternal Fire | 18c | 154.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 149.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…262ebacked Eternal Fire | 23c | 141.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 139.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Eternal Fire | 17c | 122.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Eternal Fire | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Eternal Fire | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 118.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eternal Fire | 17c | 116.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 16c | 99.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 90.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…09ecbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 83.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 75.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Eternal Fire | 18c | 70.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…36cfbacked Eternal Fire | 29c | 68.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eternal Fire | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 46.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 44.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 42.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 76c | 18.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.