CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a2666925a14eb4a992302b7dcfaa31dd63b14d11b8b0ba1d0b9ddf95214abff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Gentle Mates, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 2,602$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 1,300$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Gentle Mates | 5c | 1,070$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 712$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 389.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 355$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Gentle Mates | 79c | 253$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 179$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 152.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 110$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 93.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 92.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Eternal Fire | 23c | 87.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 85.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 83.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…99febacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 77.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 77.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 76.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 65.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 63.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Gentle Mates | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…262ebacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 49.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Eternal Fire | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…760cbacked Eternal Fire | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 30.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 25.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 20.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 15.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…6844backed Eternal Fire | 78c | 13.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.