CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423eb50bd573a3d9952f6af92947716849fa0c466b0633e5e8f5ee51489bb2a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof magic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $449,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed magic | 58c | 71,132$41,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,070.07 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed NIP | 42c | 62,424$26,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,112.85 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NIP | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.98 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed magic | 52c | 33,832$17,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,595.21 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked NIP | 52c | 30,104$15,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500.85 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 31c | 17,814$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,203.11 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed magic | 52c | 15,333$8,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,014.19 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed magic | 80c | 14,442$11,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,482.93 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed NIP | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed magic | 44c | 10,070$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 50c | 10,002$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.2 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed NIP | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.97 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed NIP | 51c | 9,982$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.66 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NIP | 54c | 9,354$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.64 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked magic | 42c | 8,494$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.42 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 58c | 7,800$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.19 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked magic | 41c | 7,744$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.1 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed NIP | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.97 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked magic | 53c | 7,312$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.05 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed magic | 54c | 7,000$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed magic | 57c | 6,329$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 57c | 5,771$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.76 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 44c | 5,499$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.45 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked magic | 52c | 4,491$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.65 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NIP | 48c | 4,466$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.89 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed magic | 57c | 4,395$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked NIP | 46c | 4,267$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.66 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NIP | 39c | 4,246$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.31 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 48c | 4,111$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.48 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed magic | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 41c | 3,936$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed magic | 45c | 3,801$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked magic | 52c | 3,776$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.27 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed magic | 55c | 3,598$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked NIP | 45c | 3,449$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.86 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NIP | 57c | 3,386$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.09 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 44c | 3,221$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.06 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed magic | 48c | 3,104$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed magic | 53c | 3,013$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.3 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked magic | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed NIP | 56c | 2,877$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.99 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…2d97backed magic | 35c | 2,845$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed magic | 51c | 2,705$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.71 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed magic | 68c | 2,347$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked magic | 47c | 2,311$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…b692backed magic | 52c | 2,302$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.89 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed magic | 33c | 2,282$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed magic | 54c | 2,260$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.79 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic | 55c | 2,240$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.39 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked magic | 54c | 2,102$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.9 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 28c | 2,072$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed magic | 52c | 2,063$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.71 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed magic | 57c | 2,002$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.02 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed magic | 32c | 1,970$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.24 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked magic | 52c | 1,900$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 66c | 1,894$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.28 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed NIP | 44c | 1,796$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.23 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked NIP | 45c | 1,775$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.05 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed magic | 34c | 1,688$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.21 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked NIP | 53c | 1,652$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.43 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 45c | 1,648$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.75 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…b3a6backed magic | 52c | 1,546$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked magic | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed magic | 33c | 1,482$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.16 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed NIP | 45c | 1,427$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.67 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed magic | 55c | 1,424$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.99 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed NIP | 43c | 1,364$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.92 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed NIP | 70c | 1,350$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked magic | 52c | 1,329$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.67 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed magic | 54c | 1,309$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.57 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 34c | 1,303$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 50c | 1,265$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked NIP | 57c | 1,263$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.15 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed NIP | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed magic | 33c | 1,248$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.11 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed NIP | 44c | 1,200$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked magic | 55c | 1,194$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.7 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed NIP | 49c | 1,192$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.09 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked NIP | 26c | 1,151$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.21 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed NIP | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.94 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked NIP | 59c | 1,111$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked magic | 58c | 1,058$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.36 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked magic | 51c | 1,024$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed NIP | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed magic | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed magic | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed magic | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked magic | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed NIP | 57c | 998.24$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82db…26b7backed magic | 72c | 983.24$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed magic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed magic | 46c | 970.84$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.13 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed NIP | 40c | 960$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked NIP | 45c | 949.51$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.07 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed magic | 52c | 939.56$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.57 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked NIP | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked magic | 61c | 884.34$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed NIP | 38c | 850.29$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.18 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed NIP | 54c | 836.82$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.55 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.