CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ab680cd565800761a99eaa5a29d198532a853a0bb5dc0efa5dca27d76a355c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic | 78c | 5,526$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.65 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked magic | 59c | 4,039$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.43 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked NIP | 40c | 3,354$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.38 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked magic | 57c | 2,635$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.63 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed NIP | 41c | 2,547$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.12 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked NIP | 32c | 2,354$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.22 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 21c | 2,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 34c | 1,840$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.01 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed NIP | 29c | 1,532$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.45 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed NIP | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed magic | 72c | 1,454$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.66 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed magic | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked NIP | 22c | 1,178$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 27c | 1,170$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed NIP | 40c | 1,018$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.3 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed magic | 60c | 991.8$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed magic | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked NIP | 34c | 804.02$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 40c | 800$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NIP | 40c | 742.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 44c | 700.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed magic | 62c | 638.85$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.89 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked NIP | 35c | 550$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked magic | 67c | 532$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed magic | 69c | 519.58$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed magic | 55c | 480.56$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…57eebacked NIP | 20c | 455.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…b692backed magic | 59c | 393.46$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 23c | 371.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked magic | 79c | 326.02$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed NIP | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed magic | 59c | 253.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 73c | 220.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed magic | 58c | 215.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed magic | 59c | 214.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed NIP | 40c | 200.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP | 10c | 182.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed magic | 68c | 155.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed NIP | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…5ad8backed magic | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed magic | 73c | 147.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked NIP | 29c | 135.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed magic | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed NIP | 35c | 115.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked NIP | 31c | 112.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked NIP | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked magic | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9649…ebd1backed magic | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed magic | 60c | 91.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed magic | 71c | 77.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked magic | 59c | 76.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed magic | 59c | 75.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked magic | 78c | 75.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked magic | 60c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed magic | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed magic | 67c | 53.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed NIP | 34c | 40.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed NIP | 34c | 38.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…345ebacked magic | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed magic | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed NIP | 35c | 31.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed magic | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…93f1backed magic | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked magic | 65c | 26.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…577dbacked magic | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked magic | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…08aabacked magic | 76c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked magic | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.