NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b17bb0b59e87a770d623fa3211fca8513fcc9b1717c76e65098390627272b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Switzerland, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sweden | 33c | 11,397$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.08 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Switzerland | 67c | 5,155$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.38 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Sweden | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Switzerland | 67c | 2,282$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.95 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Switzerland | 57c | 2,059$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.36 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Switzerland | 64c | 1,947$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.44 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Sweden | 37c | 1,810$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Switzerland | 68c | 1,589$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.59 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Switzerland | 68c | 1,522$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sweden | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Switzerland | 67c | 1,197$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…fcbfbacked Switzerland | 76c | 1,105$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…6f99backed Switzerland | 67c | 1,041$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Sweden | 34c | 1,022$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Sweden | 33c | 1,004$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Switzerland | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Sweden | 21c | 914.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Switzerland | 66c | 797.19$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.04 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Switzerland | 69c | 754.49$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sweden | 45c | 672.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Switzerland | 69c | 658.27$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…85b1backed Sweden | 36c | 607.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44b…8714backed Sweden | 34c | 603.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Sweden | 34c | 572.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Switzerland | 72c | 556$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Sweden | 34c | 545.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Switzerland | 67c | 543.06$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Switzerland | 63c | 485.56$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c9…9e8abacked Switzerland | 67c | 480.12$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Switzerland | 69c | 437.42$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Switzerland | 62c | 432.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.63 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Switzerland | 70c | 392.86$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…928abacked Switzerland | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Switzerland | 65c | 349.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Switzerland | 67c | 349.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sweden | 32c | 341.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Switzerland | 66c | 332.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Sweden | 40c | 328.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Sweden | 27c | 322.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sweden | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Switzerland | 66c | 299.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Switzerland | 67c | 295$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8396…a5f5backed Sweden | 34c | 287.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…8f46backed Switzerland | 65c | 247.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Switzerland | 64c | 240.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…17abbacked Switzerland | 67c | 239.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Switzerland | 77c | 231.8$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Sweden | 57c | 229.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…36cfbacked Sweden | 41c | 207.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Switzerland | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Switzerland | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sweden | 34c | 197.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Sweden | 34c | 196.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…1084backed Sweden | 6c | 174.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Switzerland | 64c | 164.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Sweden | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Switzerland | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Switzerland | 66c | 150.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Switzerland | 67c | 149.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…ffcabacked Switzerland | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Switzerland | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sweden | 34c | 147.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…0f36backed Sweden | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…f9e8backed Sweden | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecd…9df0backed Switzerland | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b008backed Sweden | 35c | 144.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Sweden | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5561…2a0dbacked Sweden | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Sweden | 32c | 134.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Sweden | 16c | 132.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c2…ed41backed Sweden | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Switzerland | 66c | 115.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Switzerland | 67c | 111$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…ee64backed Sweden | 33c | 104.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…3881backed Switzerland | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Switzerland | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…b676backed Sweden | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Switzerland | 66c | 98.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Switzerland | 50c | 96.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Switzerland | 67c | 89.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31e…ca1abacked Sweden | 11c | 88.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Sweden | 30c | 87.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Switzerland | 66c | 75.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Sweden | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d2…a8d9backed Switzerland | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…a2b4backed Switzerland | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…182abacked Switzerland | 67c | 74.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Sweden | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Sweden | 46c | 63.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Switzerland | 68c | 60.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…73d3backed Switzerland | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Switzerland | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…6483backed Switzerland | 67c | 58.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…c9f7backed Sweden | 34c | 58.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…5309backed Sweden | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6e…ff72backed Sweden | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Sweden | 35c | 55.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Switzerland | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…3753backed Sweden | 34c | 51.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…ba35backed Switzerland | 67c | 51.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.