TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89dc…377b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.28
World Championships: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.29
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norwaybacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
World Championships: Denmark vs. Italybacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.13
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
World Championships: USA vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.63
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$65.63
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.07
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$14.08
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.01
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.6
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.1
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.15
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.1
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.09
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$22.01
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Mariabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Daniil Medvedev vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.13
Jiri Lehecka vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.72
Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.22
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.84
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.77
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.56
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$19.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.