Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d8532e2f92b82332e0fe1cb144324a81dee583d16ce22a9b4913ba09d036ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wu | 42c | 1,343$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.19 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cobolli | 58c | 988.78$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.33 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Wu | 37c | 847$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.39 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Cobolli | 59c | 819.8$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.12 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Cobolli | 63c | 583.72$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wu | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Cobolli | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Wu | 32c | 389.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Cobolli | 68c | 348.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Cobolli | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Wu | 34c | 245.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Wu | 38c | 181.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Cobolli | 69c | 157.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Cobolli | 63c | 131.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cobolli | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Wu | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Cobolli | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Cobolli | 60c | 81.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Cobolli | 61c | 81.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Cobolli | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Wu | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cobolli | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…c850backed Cobolli | 67c | 37.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…fbbdbacked Cobolli | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Cobolli | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Cobolli | 64c | 29.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Cobolli | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cobolli | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Wu (+1.5)this page
- Cobolli vs. Wu: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Yibing Wu: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Yibing Wu: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing WuFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs WuCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Wu (+2.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.