TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee12…c850

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4470.5%31 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$410.59
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$71.09
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)backed Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$185
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.62
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$140.62
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)backed Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)backed Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$120.55
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$91.35
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.58
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tienbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$146.74
Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.9
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Vallejo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)backed Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$10.92
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.