TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Fonseca, Mensik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Mensik48c26,341$12,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,590.749545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Fonseca50c18,643$9,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,368.177146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Fonseca0c15,486$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9926355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Fonseca51c11,000$5,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,659.9817244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Fonseca52c10,001$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,190.3933442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Fonseca0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Mensik50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5008060%48 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Fonseca53c6,356$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.686836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Mensik49c6,331$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.643839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Fonseca52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.8513852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Fonseca50c4,214$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.022,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Mensik48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0806150.8%31 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Mensik47c3,093$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.3157842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Mensik47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Fonseca53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0608337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Mensik47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06030827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Mensik48c1,893$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.132250%11 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+78%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Mensik48c1,635$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Fonseca51c1,565$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Mensik50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Fonseca52c1,239$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Mensik49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6121060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fonseca2c1,095$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Fonseca53c1,057$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Mensik49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.418447.6%40 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Mensik47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Fonseca52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52015447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Mensik48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52014933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Fonseca53c760.72$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.183345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Fonseca52c746.21$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0325240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Mensik52c728$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.444156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Mensik47c721$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1399249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Fonseca54c668.52$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36128443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Mensik47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Fonseca51c637.25$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32535755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Fonseca52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd4a…fdfebacked Fonseca6c524.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd85b…a848backed Fonseca52c519.23$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709151.6%47 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ff8…5fd6backed Fonseca53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fonseca25c478.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.974,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Fonseca54c423.73$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2113441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Mensik48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6711937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Fonseca52c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063116.1%5 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Fonseca50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Mensik47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.536852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Mensik48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.46038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mensik50c319.04$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.529,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Mensik48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.516450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Mensik48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Mensik48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.554348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Mensik49c311.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6611451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Mensik49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.129543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fonseca52c300$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.42,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Fonseca44c294.03$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7829533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mensik49c277.38$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.232,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Mensik49c255.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.11,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mensik47c212.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.767,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Mensik74c210$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.111253.6%60 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Mensik49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0817138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a2…8613backed Fonseca51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Fonseca51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Fonseca52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018059.4%107 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f51…43debacked Fonseca52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-6.4wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-71.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Fonseca53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Fonseca52c185.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.510147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee12…c850backed Fonseca54c184.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004470.5%31 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Fonseca54c169.09$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.311553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5130…9b27backed Mensik48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.253246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+50.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Mensik48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.927157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Mensik47c129.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.891,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Mensik47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Fonseca52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558057.5%46 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Fonseca54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410848.1%52 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Mensik46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Fonseca54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Fonseca52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…5e3dbacked Fonseca51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2842…fb48backed Fonseca51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521159.7%126 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Mensik47c82.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.952133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Mensik49c79.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5739135.8%140 W · 251 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Mensik48c72.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8913243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Fonseca54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fonseca42c58.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.741,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Mensik47c58.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.952,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Mensik48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0810348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Mensik50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712250.8%62 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Mensik48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0815837.3%59 W · 99 L-19.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Fonseca29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Fonseca51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Fonseca51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513231.1%41 W · 91 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Fonseca51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2463252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Mensik45c44.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Fonseca53c38.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.531,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Fonseca53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Fonseca33c34.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.468118.5%15 W · 66 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Mensik47c30.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.419447.9%45 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x113e…ca7cbacked Mensik48c30.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.031060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mensik48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Fonseca52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.638947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Fonseca56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.