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Tennis · resolved market

Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under46c18,972$8,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,262.567146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over55c12,829$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0009764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over51c5,180$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.073345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Over52c4,506$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34315845.6%72 W · 86 L-12.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c3,100$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over55c2,752$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Over51c2,600$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.2142839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c2,084$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.557,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9919146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under49c1,786$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.7426545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under49c1,719$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.771428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under47c1,522$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.9458745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over53c1,066$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5652317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.339,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over51c984$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over52c961.52$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9922255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c842.99$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.384,09039.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L+95.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over55c733.64$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005064%32 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c635.45$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8569644.5%310 W · 386 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Over51c576.76$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.152556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under48c566$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.156051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under45c557.78$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.781,10660.2%666 W · 440 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Over54c550.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c500.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.237,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under51c470.51$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over55c446.42$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.465756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under47c412.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.778853.4%47 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over49c406$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9454450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Over49c404.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014652.7%77 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c402.72$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3957842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under49c372$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7273748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed Over52c366.49$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.576747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over54c342.76$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.091,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Under49c326.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5314049.3%69 W · 71 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15583747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563658.3%21 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+79.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623116.1%5 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c296.52$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.151,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Under49c288.73$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2533658.3%196 W · 140 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Over57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over55c251.64$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.43066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff21…391fbacked Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under48c238.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6229533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c220.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.016,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under44c218$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.081,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Over51c217.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under45c210.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9839152.2%204 W · 187 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over49c209.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.95561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0898156%549 W · 432 L+23.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0890654.6%495 W · 411 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Over52c196.53$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1631849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Under47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.79048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Under49c189$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3915754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Over55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.160055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6835…9dbabacked Over57c171.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.684365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under50c153.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5384640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Under48c153$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.569151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c150.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9786850.2%436 W · 432 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.514933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Under47c138.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6518850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under49c134$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3413860.9%84 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under51c130$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.787135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4de…672abacked Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.456336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed Under49c115$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.651936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.519651.5%101 W · 95 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over54c106.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.728,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc82…a7c8backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under43c102.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.315745.9%72 W · 85 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0496755.9%541 W · 426 L+21.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011253.6%60 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5036261.6%223 W · 139 L+40.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Under47c98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.943650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under49c97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4727057.8%156 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under50c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.558553%310 W · 275 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Over53c92.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.515246.7%71 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017358.4%101 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ba…0b74backed Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over60c82.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Under47c80.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.765650%28 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf629…f4ccbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under45c76.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.173,27940.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over56c75.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.493756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Over51c75.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6851152.1%266 W · 245 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Over54c73.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Under46c73.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.446045%27 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.434860.3%210 W · 138 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a1…0827backed Under48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47160.6%43 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Under49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.668555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8179…5c4dbacked Under52c62.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.413046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under49c61.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.382,44551.6%1,262 W · 1,183 L+8.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.445142.8%193 W · 258 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.47940.5%32 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.563,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.