TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Under41c21,527$8,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,780.8995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over61c11,998$7,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,284.7614252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over59c8,247$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,855.973345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under39c7,011$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.511338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+344.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c6,961$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,045.471,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under38c6,628$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.567146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over61c6,181$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7481,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under40c3,247$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.2467144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over61c3,036$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.668154.3%44 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c2,652$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.844,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over63c2,381$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under37c1,766$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.1827836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over60c1,669$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c1,604$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.247,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e47…3348backed Over62c1,467$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under39c1,210$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.0358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Over61c1,099$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.842556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Over61c813.11$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49618053.9%97 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…acbbbacked Over69c724.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under40c698.33$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1629533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over61c491.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under38c446.11$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8792548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Over78c421.35$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.587755.8%43 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1333…c602backed Over63c391.1$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over62c382.6$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.417940.5%32 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Over62c330$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.641644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under35c307.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under43c302.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under41c300$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f9…1cfabacked Over60c298.02$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.813345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.227,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under38c211.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5515646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under28c208.02$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3817436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.45561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under42c166.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.085,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Over58c163.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9564350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a2…bcd1backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over62c147.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3527944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Over59c138.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid+45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under41c129.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.799,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over59c119.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6114568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45ea…e966backed Over63c119.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.012045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under42c115.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.983,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over63c103.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6234761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5922953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x462f…cbd6backed Over63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over58c99.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9725051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under43c94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5819338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under24c93.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.173132.3%10 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick18cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Under42c91.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.033458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under43c88.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.482540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+181.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under41c86.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2522153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over46c82.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.926555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017835.4%63 W · 115 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa662…4823backed Under41c73.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over58c72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7449151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Under25c68.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.321428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over48c68.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under39c68.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.669244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over65c66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.624,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.523,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f2…d85fbacked Over59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under42c50.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Over60c45.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0349252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.085461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Over63c38.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under41c37.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6747447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e77…303fbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015856.3%89 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…9749backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over64c32.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf52…d3c9backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Over59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.759366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c21.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.964,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Over71c21.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x678a…05ffbacked Over58c20.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212453.2%66 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee8…ae98backed Over76c20.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa231…a91ebacked Over60c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.791844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108729.9%26 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.