TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x594d…059dbacked No73c33,550$24,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,987.581560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c11,208$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c9,497$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No72c8,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.998743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No71c6,254$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c4,612$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes29c3,372$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.827943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes25c2,783$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.1538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes28c2,573$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.5730431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No79c2,499$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.62,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes29c2,414$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No73c2,306$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.111,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes29c2,090$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.0261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes15c2,061$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Yes28c2,050$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.031250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes28c2,041$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.436839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9911654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c1,815$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.4656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Yes29c1,774$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.414143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62cd…02babacked Yes27c1,587$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.483638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No79c1,477$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.628445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbebb…a1d5backed No73c1,452$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes30c1,450$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.3318027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes27c1,377$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.91,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a3…a496backed No72c1,360$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes27c1,343$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5610539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c1,323$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31914246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes24c1,024$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7644435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes29c999$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.718736.8%32 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No80c963.26$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.191,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c911.3$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes28c785.71$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c780.19$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes27c657.4$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes8c637.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505028%14 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No73c617$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.597458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c605.09$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.781,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes27c599.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.484843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a0…978fbacked No72c566.67$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c565$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.152,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No73c528.6$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7263035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6e…682abacked Yes28c517.7$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked Yes17c515$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8623844.1%105 W · 133 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No79c502.17$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes27c499.87$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9613045.4%59 W · 71 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No73c496.52$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4365651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed No76c484.19$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.498859.1%52 W · 36 L-11.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes22c478.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.279829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…b56dbacked Yes28c476.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Yes24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9cd…5260backed Yes8c415$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No73c410.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9125031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…a6c6backed Yes24c410.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.511827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes24c409.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006830.9%21 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Yes8c408.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.687948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes4c401$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be9…47e1backed Yes25c386.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.522133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006533.8%22 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d6…e879backed Yes28c347.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.41225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes29c339.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes30c339$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.717255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked No73c336.36$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8229341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5c9…4dacbacked No73c334.6$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes28c329.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.397044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No71c327.21$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9123345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes27c318.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8539648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes29c312.69$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.688758.6%51 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No73c306.21$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes26c299$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.742,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8f…b937backed No73c295.4$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cc…f871backed No73c285.4$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c269.7$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5645039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes29c252$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2433443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.516150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011631.9%37 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c249.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Yes29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708138.3%31 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c240.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes20c223.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b17…78d6backed No73c222.3$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c205$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes28c199.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.948549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes28c196.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No76c194.61$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7184738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes28c194.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4317148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b629backed No73c191.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.