TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5c9…4dac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevezbacked Thiago Cigarran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+407%+$116.28
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.96
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcanbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.8
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.37
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$114.06
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$143.74
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$451.73
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$228.97
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.35
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$427.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$95.81
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.37
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$341.61
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$743.97
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$58.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.