TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x594d…059dbacked No70c17,599$12,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,331.781560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c6,796$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.371,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No63c5,452$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.8732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93010539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No78c2,060$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.25669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes22c1,891$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No69c1,729$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.0627520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes56c1,677$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.241,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes16c1,609$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes30c1,498$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4347235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes52c1,400$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72815763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes21c1,361$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4417513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes15c1,155$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.558445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes30c1,154$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.122,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c973.15$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2a…ee9abacked No70c950.97$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes31c944$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c901.58$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes27c897.21$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.36835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No70c820.93$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9310863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes30c789.51$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.231,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Yes32c722.4$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x772b…02fcbacked Yes24c679.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c588$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.22,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c555.98$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No68c480.88$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8818943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c472$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7693542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No23c470$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.925954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1c…5aebbacked No70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes31c360$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.64847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c350.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ee…3b01backed No70c349.53$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.861471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.717659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c274.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes31c264.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes38c223.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0917945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No40c216.23$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.138543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c216$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.361,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes48c193.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9825865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed No66c193.11$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.668445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c177.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.185563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c9…4dacbacked No69c176.55$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes29c172.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011219.6%22 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked No70c170.37$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.16875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes22c156.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2627745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No69c154.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0524448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c145.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4651429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b62…1fe9backed Yes26c137.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+116.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013032.3%42 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes31c129.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.381554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes24c121$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.520227.2%55 W · 147 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes31c120.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7245947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes30c100.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.031,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.517630.1%53 W · 123 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0255…4eb0backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112263.9%78 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3114119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3014223.9%34 W · 108 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.528964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No61c91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.731,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b9…255dbacked Yes30c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No23c84.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0726534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c75.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.653,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes38c75.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes22c75.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed No69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes39c71.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.632,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes30c71.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6618764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No61c68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dad…7656backed Yes32c61.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes25c59.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed No76c57.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No80c55.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.384,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes20c52.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5212128.1%34 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes31c52.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0854859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510834.3%37 W · 71 L-19.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x128e…56f6backed No69c48.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.071560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked No69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.485862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e4…e173backed No70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8612846.9%60 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c40.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…c588backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125939%23 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes31c39.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2139746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2036…9ebcbacked No69c32.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882680.8%21 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Yes32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.246555.4%36 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb457…ae09backed Yes32c31.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083250%16 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…b9debacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e8…6f45backed No40c30.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.746445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked No69c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1211861.9%73 W · 45 L-0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…4917backed No69c28.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…3d1ebacked No69c28.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.