TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes3c16,809$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes28c5,481$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.624327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c4,244$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.0876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes7c3,968$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.712,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c3,915$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.431,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c3,844$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c3,594$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.81,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No75c3,449$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.1220262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes29c3,357$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.3463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c2,378$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No75c2,327$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No75c2,325$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes7c2,026$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes29c2,009$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58016425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes28c1,997$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes28c1,858$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.653221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes25c1,823$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3610539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Yes28c1,809$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes28c1,605$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2827520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes23c1,485$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.627126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c1,286$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.291,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes14c1,231$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes7c999.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes8c997.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes8c975$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No72c910$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c865.6$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No72c855.32$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.741,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No72c840.87$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes29c827$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5624233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes2c612$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.242,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Yes12c590.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.753228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+85.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes3c571.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c556$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes25c509.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9524448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1d…ca4cbacked Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c498.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.614,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes24c485$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0113643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No72c437.58$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5216758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes24c417.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019120.9%40 W · 151 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No72c396.62$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.061,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes25c340$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No73c323.84$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.911,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c308.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.753,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c256.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.513,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes15c248.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3218943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes8c247$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6163151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No74c240$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6328162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No73c210$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3639746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No75c195.23$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7610548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes25c194.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6311135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed No75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011239.3%44 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022026.4%58 W · 162 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c146$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.791,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes27c143.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.321,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa943…bcbebacked No78c137.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.131580%12 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No75c135$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14080%32 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…b237backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes25c106$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes26c104.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.12911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes27c101.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725641%105 W · 151 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2717162%106 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Yes25c98.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.745127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c88.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.417557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No72c74.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefcc…8a1dbacked Yes27c71.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f25…4f11backed No72c69.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.843158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65eb…53d5backed No72c69.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.071450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.675286.5%45 W · 7 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes27c61.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.485923.7%14 W · 45 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67df…5f86backed Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138556.5%48 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848f…9cdabacked No72c49.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8110545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked No73c47.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9427154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No72c46.15$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No78c38.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3319069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.361855.3%342 W · 276 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.430751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No72c29.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1336045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No71c27.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9837057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked No74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.525948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked No74c24.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.293256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No72c22.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1711755.6%65 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No76c18.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.384257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No72c18.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0948154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.