TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No30c10,214$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes66c8,868$5,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.252,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes73c8,304$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.5432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No59c7,729$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,537.3463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebe…5e03backed No56c4,935$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1188…f4adbacked Yes44c4,930$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe319…8f82backed No56c4,929$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4caa…d4f7backed Yes44c4,924$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c4,147$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.6576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes67c3,731$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.347846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No24c3,457$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5530117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes44c3,092$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.0213847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes44c3,030$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.122448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed No1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306942%29 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No58c2,963$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.761,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c2,711$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.291,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c2,489$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No32c2,336$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes71c2,115$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0814132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No55c1,917$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.3523255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No26c1,913$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes71c1,833$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.474858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9910042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bab…e6a2backed Yes73c1,650$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.314168.3%28 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes42c1,579$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.2510539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No29c1,556$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3639933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No30c1,479$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.181,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No26c1,349$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2117513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes59c1,349$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4712144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No29c1,338$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4638526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No6c1,264$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8513059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No55c1,229$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.0713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes42c1,202$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.592,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No34c1,200$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.722,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes71c1,173$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1411238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.799454.3%51 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed No59c1,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58516425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No56c961.85$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.3222041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes41c961.33$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.183557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes60c952.97$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.7211346%52 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No32c942.31$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8321759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked No58c885$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.1524233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes43c871.12$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.5451228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes71c806.28$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No25c800.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed No58c770.5$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9711218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No31c765.81$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked No58c746.96$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.234327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No27c731.58$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.038445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked No7c708.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.574030%12 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Yes72c699.98$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes72c680.56$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5629463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No29c679.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked No20c651.46$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.12665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No58c603.19$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1425031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No57c599.97$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.984843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes68c597.69$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No55c560.41$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.285563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No33c532.94$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1193542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No28c504.55$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes68c501.03$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3344435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1d…ca4cbacked No57c499.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.991020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes44c481.87$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.852,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c474.69$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1211135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eaf…01cabacked Yes43c412.58$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No32c406.38$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.11,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No57c399.33$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.621,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes69c369.05$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2857541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012657.1%72 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No30c362.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1318764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c353.35$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.153,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.846839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes77c344$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.272,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes70c339$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes49c303.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9936349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes43c301.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.974434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes45c300.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5441857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes76c299.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7231156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…9a41backed No58c299.97$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No20c297.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.493666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No55c285.12$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1224448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd313…ca4abacked Yes75c277.55$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.392240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No27c261.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No29c260.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6817945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5cd9backed Yes43c255.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes69c253.31$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5342048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked No18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No56c246.75$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No29c242.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes62c237$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.981,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa576…dfefbacked Yes43c226.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.16253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked No40c225.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes43c224.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.39439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No29c220.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.958543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes75c206.49$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.