TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ac3…1347

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14223.9%34 W · 108 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.75
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
LoL: VfB eSports vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$13.88
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.93
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$8.2
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.41
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.93
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.3
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.04
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Virtus.pro to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
MOUZ to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.04
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.09
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$212.74
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.89
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$35.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.76
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.4
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.72
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$101.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.