Dota2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5db8f441847f703b169945c9e730c5c69e0b520a84e64f262a7f5ad44079d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 9,728$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.19 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 45c | 9,114$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.95 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 58c | 6,502$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.12 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 5,606$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.45 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 48c | 1,632$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.66 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 872.16$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.42 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 44c | 477.47$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Under | 58c | 448.28$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 45c | 444.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.84 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Under | 57c | 434.53$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Under | 57c | 394$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 57c | 281.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Over | 43c | 248.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 28c | 237.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 44c | 209.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 45c | 208.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Under | 56c | 200.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 45c | 197.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…c63abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Over | 43c | 169.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 44c | 145.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Under | 40c | 123.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 119.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 25c | 117$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…4347backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Over | 33c | 100.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 42c | 92.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Under | 36c | 84.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Under | 57c | 84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Under | 70c | 82.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Under | 56c | 80.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 53c | 71.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 29c | 61.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -6.3wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Over | 31c | 61.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 43c | 61.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 38c | 61.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over | 44c | 53.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Under | 58c | 42.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 34c | 42.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked Under | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed Over | 44c | 39.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Under | 62c | 31.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Over | 45c | 31.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBoomBoys won
- First Blood in Game 1?TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)BoomBoys won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.